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WMR = 64.90 - Below Standard

WMR scale (single match /100):

  • 85–100 = Dominant (A+)

  • 65–69.9 = Clear Edge

  • 60–64.9 = Below Standard ← United this week: 64.90

  • 0–44.9 = Unacceptable

2-1 win over Chelsea at Old Trafford - the numbers show real improvement

Solid performance backed up by the stats: we earned 17.97/24 on defense after limiting them to just 0.43 expected goals, conceding only 1 big chance all match. Our keeper dragged things down slightly with -0.41 goals prevented rating, but the box defending was much better.

Going forward, much sharper decision-making this time - created 1.84 xG and hit the target with 4 out of 11 shots (36.36% conversion rate). That lifted our Attack rating to 18.53/24.

Big jump from the City disaster - up 26.16 points from that 38.73 rating.

Table of Contents

Key stats

  • xG: 1.84 vs xGA: 0.43

  • Shots / On target: 11 / 4 (SoT% 36.36%) vs 5 / 1

  • Big chances: 3 vs 1 conceded

  • Possession: 41% | Duels won: 49% | Tackles won: 76%

  • Corners: 5–5

  • GK goals prevented: –0.41

Aaron's Notes

Aaron's Notes

Building FusionSim · Founder of DataFusionary · Co-Founder & COO of FutbolFrenzy · Football, data, ideas & everything in between.

Model Point Breakdown

Category (→max)

Points

Attack (→24)

18.53

Defense (→24)

17.97

Possession (→14)

0.00

Def. Actions (→14)

8.40

Set Pieces (→10)

6.00

Adjustments (→14)

14.00 (Availability 5.00; Manager 4.00; Result 5.00)

WMR / 100

64.90

What drove the 64.90 rating

  • Handled game phases well. Going up a man early let us control the tempo and grab the opener. When it went back to 10v10 after 45+5', we stayed compact and disciplined until that late set-piece caught us out.

  • Defended smartly without the ball. Had 41% possession but limited them to 5 shots with just 1 on target (0.43 xGA). Proper box protection and keeping their quality chances to a minimum - Defense hit 17.97/24.

  • Much better in the final third. 36.36% of our shots hit the target (way up from 16.67% against City) and we created three big chances, pushing Attack up to 18.53/24.

    Weekly Match Rating: Chelsea match at ~65 as the rolling-5 average climbs.

Season highs from this match

  • Best performance so far: 64.90 (just beats Burnley's 64.66)

  • Tightest defensively: 0.43 xGA

  • Sharpest finishing: 36.36% shots on target

  • Fewest big chances given up: 1 (matching Arsenal game)

  • Strongest defensive display: 17.97/24

Areas to work on next week

  • Set-piece defending. That 80th minute goal was a well-worked short corner, need to attack the first ball and cover the back post better. Fourth set-piece goal conceded this season.

  • Keep the ball without losing defensive shape. Got 0/14 on possession points, aim for 6-8/14 through cleaner passing out and better midfield positioning.

  • Maintain shot quality. Keep that 35%+ conversion rate going to stay in the 18-20/24 attack range and get our keeper contributing positively instead of those -0.41 ratings.

New ratings every Monday, full form updates every Thursday. If this was helpful, pass it along to other Reds. 🙌